Monday, October 26, 2009

Heisman Watch...

New segment here, a look at how I would vote if I were given a Heisman vote...

Heisman Top 5

1. Mark Ingram (RB, Alabama ) – 3rd nationally in rushing with an average of over 6.5 yards per carry for an undefeated top team

2. Case Keenum (QB, Houston) – Averaging almost 400 yards per game and 20 TD’s

3. Noel Devine (RB, West Virginia ) – Scored in every game this year while averaging 6.7 YPC.

4. Freddie Barnes (WR, Bowling Green) – Freddie is at 99 catches on the season through 8 games and already has passed 1,000 yards – including 46 for 610 his last 3 games.

5. CJ Spiller – 4 return TD’s and featured RB for the likely ACC Atlantic Division Champ.

Watch list:

Josh Nesbitt (QB, Georgia Tech) – His health should mean birth in ACCCG

Dion Lewis (RB, Pitt) – Sneaky freshman went over 1,000 yards Saturday

Ryan Matthews (RB, Fresno St) – Leads the nation in rushing with 7.3 YPC

Christian Ponder (QB, Florida St ) – Could get some late hype if Noles keep winning –only 1 INT all year and over 2100 yards passing

Kellen Moore (Boise St) – 21 TD’s to 2 INT for the unbeaten Broncos

Sunday, October 25, 2009

A few quick thoughts...

Haven't posted since the Falcons late comeback last week against Chicago. Great win that puts the Birds in a good position to be 5-3 or 6-2 at the half way point. A loss last week and today vs Dallas is a must win with a trip to NO coming up. The Brian Williams knee injury really hurts and I am concerned this is one more injury away from being in real trouble.

Some great finishes yesterday in East Lansing and Tuscaloosa. Not a whole lot of shake up in the top of the standings, but TCU made a pretty strong statement in Provo. They have now won at UVA, Clemson, and BYU and are clearly on track for a BCS game. It still looks like the SEC will get an at-large and that would leave one more spot for an at-large, and TCU looks the part. They will have a high enough BCS ranking and should get the nod over Boise due to their head-to-head victory last season.

Cincy continues to roll even without Tony Pike, and Nevada put up 70 against Idaho with Luke Lippincott and Colin Kaepernick. They may have a shot to knock off Boise after Thanksgiving. Auburn is in serious danger of starting 5-0 and failing to become bowl eligible. They will get a 6th win against Furman, but won't have 6 FCS victories needed...

Georgia Tech will be favored to win the rest of their games and could be 11-1 going into the ACCCG, likely against Clemson. Things sure set up nice for them this year, with their non-conference schedule and the ACC producing many bad teams. They went 2-1 against the only other teams in their conference with a pulse, and that should be enough to get them to the ACCCG.

RSM Poll

1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Iowa
5. TCU
6. USC
7. Cincinnati
8. Boise St
9. Oregon
10. LSU
11. Penn St
12. Georgia Tech
13. Oklahoma St
14. Virginia Tech
15. Ohio St
16. Pittsburgh
17. Utah
18. West Virginia
19. Miami
20. Arizona
21. South Carolina
22. Wisconsin
23. Houston
24. Ole Miss
25. Central Michigan

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Thoughts on the 1st BCS Poll...

The first BCS poll is due out today, and it appears the candidates to play in the one bowl game people care about are as follows:


The most probable outcome is the SECCG winner vs unbeaten Texas to decide the title. Similar to the past few years, the SEC Champ vs the Big 12 Champ is the best scenario for college football. It appears that if Texas can come back from the Red River Rivalry and win at Mizzou and Okie State the next 2 weeks, they should be set. Kansas was exposed this weekend and no one from the North will challenge the Horns in the Big 12 CG. Iowa has a shot if they can win out, but that would mean winning in Columbus on Nov 14th. If the SEC Champ has one loss, Iowa could make a case that they should be taking on Texas.

Miami can get in via their reputation and the Oklahoma non-conference win, but they need Texas, Iowa, and maybe USC to lose. LSU still controls its destiny to get to Atlanta, but don't appear likely to knock off the Tide. USC/Oregon out of the Pac-10 need a lot of help and schedules will probably keep Boise/Cincy/TCU out of the equation.

Most are assuming the unbeaten UF/Bama SECCG winner will take on unbeaten Texas and Iowa will lose to OSU. This works out well for the BCS, but their could still be chaos. What if going in to Championship Saturday the rankings look like this?

1. Florida (12-0)
2. Texas (12-0)
3. Boise (12-0)
4. USC (11-1)
5. Miami (11-1)
6. Alabama (11-1)
7. Cincinnati (12-0)
8. TCU (12-0)
9. Iowa (11-1)
10. Penn St (11-1)

Again, things look good as long as Florida and Texas win, but what if there is a 2007 scenario where both lose and everyone else wins? What then? The computers hate Boise and voters would not likely vote them in the top 2, but who would be 1? How would voters decide between Miami/USC/Bama and the unbeaten non-BCS schools? This would be very, very interesting.

RSM Top 25

1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Iowa
5. USC
6. Boise State
7. Cincinnati
8. TCU
9. Miami
10. Oregon
11. LSU
12. Penn State
13. Georgia Tech
14. Oklahoma State
15. Virginia Tech
16. Ohio State
17. Utah
18. West Virginia
19. Pittsburgh
20. Houston
21. Texas Tech
22. South Carolina
23. Arizona
24. Wisconsin
25. BYU

Sunday, October 4, 2009

CFB thoughts and rankings...

Great win for Miami yesterday, they took a ridiculous schedule to start the year and went 3-1. They are certainly a top 10 team after their start. They now have FAMU, Wake, UCF, Clemson, Duke, UNC, and Virginia before ending the year at USF. They definitely have a good shot at 11-1. Whoever comes out of the ACC Coastal will coast in the ACCCG. The leader on the Atlantic side right now is Maryland and none of the teams on that side look like they want it right now.

What has happened to Cal? They looked very strong the 1st few games and now they can't do anything. Looks like USC-Oregon is shaping up to be for the Rose Bowl. Auburn got another win and they can certainly build off going on the road to a tough environment, but we still won't know a lot about them until their final 5 games. They play LSU, Miss, UGA, and Bama in 4 of their last 5 with a FCS opponent mixed in the middle.

RSM Poll

1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. Boise St
5. LSU
6. Virginia Tech
7. Miami
8. Cincinnati
9. Iowa
10. TCU
11. USC
12. Oregon
13. Ohio State
14. USF
15. Kansas
16. Auburn
17. Wisconsin
18. Georgia Tech
19. Houston
20. Oklahoma St
21. Nebraska
22. Penn State
23. Missouri
24. Oklahoma
25. Georgia

Saturday, October 3, 2009

Saturday Morning Musings...

Good time of year right now. Weather is cooling down, football is in full swing, and NBA is beginning pre-season games...

Lets take a quick look back at the RSM baseball predictions. For those that don't want to click, here were the picks:

NL East - Philly
NL Central - Cubs
NL West - D-Backs
Wild Card - Braves

AL East - Boston
AL Central - Tigers
AL West - Angels
WIld Card - Rays

NL MVP - H. Ramirez
AL MVP - M. Cabrera

NL CY Young - Lincecum
AL CY Young - Halladay

NL ROY - C. Maybin
AL ROY - E. Andrus

NLCS - D-Backs over Cubs
ALCS - Angels over Red Sox

WS - Angels over D-Backs

Reader Mike did much better with his...


wc-red sox

yankees over cardinals

nl cy young-lincecum
al cy young-sabathia

nl mvp-pujols
al mvp-m cabrera

It looks like Mike will only miss the NL Wild Card, but who could blame him picking the local squad. I missed the AL & NL Wild Card as well as the NL Central. Obviously, I was way off on the D-Backs. They ran into a series of issues with the Brandon Webb injury, the Chris Young debacle, and a rash of other injuries. But, kudos again to Mike - well done.

As for the awards, there weren't too many poor choices, but if I had a vote for the real award now, here is how I would vote...

NL MVP - Pujols
AL MVP - Mauer

NL Cy Young - Wainwright
AL Cy Young - Greinke

AL ROY - Beckham
NL ROY - Hanson

Early guess at the Hawks roster:

Bibby, Crawford, Teague, Johnson, West, Smith, Williams, Evans, Horford, Pachulia, Collins, Hunter