BCS Title Game Scenarios

Ok, we are down to 2 weeks of the college football season before the craziness of Championship weekend. Barring any major upsets, there are only a few scenarios left after seeing the latest BCS Standings. Want to know who may play for the crystal ball? You can bet it will be one of these match-ups (In order of likelihood)...

1) LSU vs Oklahoma St - the current #1 vs #2 control their own destiny and have passed all their road tests (only Iowa St and Ole Miss remain) but OSU does not have the Championship game hurdle that LSU does. Alas, both will be favored to win out and play for it and even if LSU loses to Arkansas, this will still be the match-up as long as LSU beats UGA. Bama will pass LSU in the BCS standings, but LSU won't fall more than 5 spots behind Bama and won't fall past Arkansas, giving the tie-break to LSU as it would revert back to the LSU-Bama result.

2) LSU vs Oregon - With Oregon sitting at #4 right now, they can win out and have the best argument to get a re-match with LSU over Bama. Oregon has 2 home games with USC and OSU before the Pac-12 Championship game, which should be in Eugene, likely against ASU.

3) Oklahoma St vs Oregon - If LSU loses to UGA and Oklahoma St wins out, look for Oregon to get a shot as the Pac-12 champions. Even if Bama is ahead of Oregon going in to Championship weekend, an Oregon win will have the humans voting Oregon ahead of Bama before the final poll, just like they did in 2007 when they voted for conference champions ahead of non-conference champions.

Remember, history has shown us that you can throw out all previous polls when it comes time to vote for the final poll that influences the BCS Title game. Those voters who think conference champs should be in the game will bump an Oregon over Bama, even if they had Bama 3 and Oregon 4 for 3 straight weeks.

Oregon has a good argument over Bama here...We both have 1-loss and it was to LSU, we are conference champs, and LSU beat you at your house...

4) LSU vs Oklahoma - If OU wins Bedlam and Oregon loses to ASU, the momentum of winning on the road against the #2 team in the nation will jump OU over OSU, Oregon, and Bama into the #2 spot.

5) Oregon vs Oklahoma - If UGA beats LSU and OU wins Bedlam, look for conference champions Oregon and OU to play for it.

Ok Alabama fans, how have you been left out as a 1-loss SEC team with the brand name like you have in scenarios 3 and 5? Well, here is the scenario where you get in as I believe that a 1-loss conference champion from the Big-12 and Pac-12 will get in over a non-conference champion from the SEC, even if it is Bama...

LSU loses to Arkansas and Georgia, Oregon loses to ASU, then...

Bama vs Bedlam winner - In this scenario, there would be a few more teams that would be holding press conferences the night of December 3rd to plead their case, (i.e. Arkansas, Clemson/VT winner, Houston, Stanford, Bedlam loser)

Bama getting in as a non-conference champion makes sense here as they would have a much stronger case than an unbeaten C-USA champ, 1-loss ACC champ, 1-loss non-conference champ from the Big 12/Pac 12.

Can a 2-loss team get in? The best bet would be UGA, as they would be riding an 11-game win streak and a win over #1...For that to happen...

UGA vs Bedlam winner - Oregon loses to ASU, Bama loses to Auburn, you could make a case for 2-loss UGA over ACC winner, Bedlam loser, LSU, Stanford, and Houston...

Best team not mentioned? I still say Wisconsin, who dominated MSU in their stadium only to lose on a freak hail mary, then had a hangover against OSU the next week. They could easily be in this mix if things bounced their way a little more...

Prop bet of the weekend...who keeps the score closer?? Ole Miss at home vs LSU or Georgia Southern playing in Tuscaloosa??